Saturday, March 21, 2009

The Good, Bad, and the Babblemur

So, with only a few weeks left to go, and several rounds of tourney action underway, and several lame posts from Iowa, I thought its a good time to recap our picks. We'll finish the year with a final BRI, but for now, here is how our draft can be scored (Starred* teams still alive):

Round 1.

Winners:
1. Jutdog (Louisville* with 87 pts),
2. CEO (Duke* with 80 pts),
3. Jaybird (UNC* with 80 pts),
Honorable Mention: Babs with Michigan St* - 72 pts and Boaris with Pitt - 74 pts.

Losers:
1. Musas (Tennessee with 48 pts)
2. ProgressMeds (Texas with 53 pts)


Round 2

Winners:
1. Boaris (Oklahoma* with 70 pts)
2. Jutdog (Wake Forest with 63 pts)
3. Babs (Zona St* with 61 pts)

Losers:
1. Musash (Georgetown with 34pts)
2. ProgressMeds (Davidson with 36 pts)
3. Gunz (Notre Dame with 39 pts)
4. Notaturtle (Miami with 34 pts)


Round 3

Winners:
1. Phunmunki (Xavier* with 67 pts)
2. Jaybird (Kansas* with 65 pts)
3. Babs (Syracuse* with 59 pts)

Losers:
1. HippieD (UNLV with 37 pts)
2. Notaturtle (Baylor* with 38 pts)
3. ProgressMeds (St Marys* with 37 pts)


Round 4

Winners:
1. Akaoni (Washington* with 71 pts)
2. CEO (LSU* with 66 pts)
Honorable Mention: Babs and Creighton* with 51 pts and Jutdog and Temple with 50 pts

Losers:
1. Musash (Iowa with 19 pts)
2. Turtle (Kent St with 24 pts)
3. HippieD (George Mason with 30 pts)


Round 5

Winners:
1. CEO (VCU with 52 pts)
2. Babs (West Virginia with 51 pts)

Losers:
1. HippieD (Murray St with 17 pts)
2. Jutdog (San Diego - dropped - 16pts through Feb draft)
3. Phunmunki (Nevada with 26 pts)
4. Gunz (Arkansas with 26 pts)


Rounds 6-8

Winners:
1. Akaoni with Dayton* - 53 pts
2. Boairs with Mississippi St - 53 pts (last round pick)
3. Boaris with Butler - 52 pts
4. Turtle with Cal St Northridge - 42 pts
5. ProgressMeds with Illinois St - 39 pts (last round pick)
6. Phunmunki with Vermont* - 32 pts (last round pick)

Losers:
1. The CEO with Midd Tenn St - 16 pts
2. HippieD with Western Mich - 8 pts
3. Musash with Oregon - 8 pts, dropped for expansion draft
4. Babs wtih Charlotte - 11 pts, dropped for expansion draft
5. The CEO with Boston - 19 pts
6. The CEO with Mount St Marys - 21 pts

7 comments:

Ron said...

Well I have to say that this contest has suddenly gotten A LOT CLOSER.

1. Akaoni - Lost Texas A&M, Michigan and Washington today, which means all the rest of his points are resting on Purdue and Dayton in the NCAA and Florida in the NIT. None of those teams are dominating. HE'S VULNERABLE.

2. Jutdog - Down to just Louisville, he's limited in his point production, but on the other hand, it is Louisville, and they are probably Final Four Favorites right now. STILL A THREAT.

3. Babblemur - Arizona St & Syracuse play on Sunday, meaning only one will advance to the Sweet 16. Michigan St must advance to remain viable. Both Creighton and San Diego St are alive in the NIT as well. HAS POTENTIAL

4. Boaris - as long as both Pitt & Oklahoma are around he has the potential to win it all. Kentucky lives still in the NIT, and Stanford in the CBI. STILL A THREAT

5. The CEO - Duke, Villanova, & Siena are still alive in the NCAA. Unless Duke falls to Texas tonight The CEO can still compete. HAS POTENTIAL

6. Jaybird - Jaybird has the scariest triple threat in North Carolina, Marquette and Kansas in the NCAA, plus Northeastern in the CBI. Marquette vs. Missouri and Kansas vs. Dayton on Sunday will be critical - if he wins both I would declare Jaybird as the ONE TO WATCH.

Others have potential to become challengers but they are going to have to not lose any games next week.

Progress Media (373 points, Texas, Arizona, Davidson, St. Mary's)
Phunmunki (369 points, Gonzaga, Wisconsin, Xavier, Belmont, Vermont)
Gunz (343 points, Memphis, Missouri, Notre Dame, Old Dominion)
NotaTurtle (329 points, Cleveland St, Baylor, UTEP)
Musashisan (306 points, Western Kentucky, Penn State, Oregon State)
HippieD (304 points, UCONN, USC, Oklahoma St, Richmond)

Ron said...

Consider this scenario:

Lets say on Sunday all of the higher seeds win, except we give Marquette over Missouri, for fun. That would mean that going into the Sweet 16 the top of the board would look like:
Akaoni 431
Jutdog 431
Babs 423
Jaybird 413
Boaris 411
The CEO 408
Then in the next round, where each win over another player will total 11 points, we assume: Louisville, Mich St, UCONN, Memphis, Pitt, Duke, UNC, Oklahoma. Then the leader board will look like:
Jutdog 442
Babs 434
Boaris 433
Akaoni 431
Jaybird 424
The CEO 419

Now there will be only four teams that make it to the Final Four earning 16 points for doing so. Only 23 points separate The CEO from Jutdog. I would argue that since one of the Final Four positions will likely be taken by either UCONN (HippieD) or Memphis (Gunz), that the winner of this contest will be one of the three players that gets into the final four:
Boaris or The CEO (Pitt or Duke);
Boaris or Jaybird (Oklahoma or North Carolina);
Babs or Jutdog (Michigan St or Louisville)

If it is the favorites Louisville, Pitt & UNC, then this is down to Jutdog, Boaris, and Jaybird and the one that wins the national championship will win this contest.

Unless it is UCONN or Memphis that is, in which case it will be Boaris (Pitt) or Jaybird (North Carolina).

Of course, anything can happen...

Ron said...

I'm starting to look at "maximum possible points" just for fun, to see if anyone "can't possibly win".

I did HippieD, since he has the fewest points.

If the Final Four consists of UCONN, USC, and Oklahoma State (plus one other), and if UCONN plays Oklahoma State for the Championship, plus Richmond wins the CBI, then HippieD gains +166 points, putting them at 470 points. They can still win it.

Ron said...

Continuing on to Musashisan...

Musa has two teams left in action: Penn St (NIT) and Oregon St (CBI).

If Penn St wins the NIT and Oregon St wins the CBI then Musa will pick up 31 points, finishing at 337.

Musashisan has no chance of winning this contest.

Ron said...

And one more...

NotaTurtle has three teams remaining in play: Cleveland ST (NCAA), Baylor (NIT) and UTEP (CBI).

If all three of these teams win all three tournaments, then Turtle will gain 108 points, to finish with 437. This BARELY puts Turtle in the "could win it" category, but only by 6 points. This win would have to include Akaoni winning no more games, and the other "leaders" not winning very many games.

But I guess it could happen...

Anonymous said...

Some BIG scares today. It was strange cheering for USC, but a necessary evil.

Marquette almost pulls off a great game, but a tough last minute costs the game.

HippieD, who really was a long shot, lost two of his 3 hopefulls today. He's out.

Akaoni drops one of his several teams. Could this finally be the beginning of the destruction he's been calling for the past 3 months?

I hope so.

~ Jut

akaoni said...

Purdue is the last team standing, and I doubt they get past UCONN...so yes, my collapse is imminent