No, I don't think I am going to win this year. In fact I'll probably tank, like I should have done last year but somehow (Butler) managed to stay in it until the Final Four. My predictions below are based on a complex algorithm running between two laptops, an android, and a deck of Tarot cards.
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Now my predictions (and contrary to what Jut thinks, I'm more right than wrong).
1. Gunz - This will be a close race between Gunz and Jaybird, and in a way it comes down to which one of these two are more likely to put a team in the National Championship game against Michigan State, and I think Duke is more likely to be that team. Gunz' squad is well anchored behind Duke with Georgetown and Wisconsin who should rake in big points. Oklahoma State is going to be good for 40 points, and VCU will surprise Jut and win the Colonial. Stanford has a lot of opportunities for points in the PAC 10, all the PAC 10 teams do, but only 3 will go dancing (it won't be Stanford). Bradley is the only drag on this squad.
2. Jaybird - Jaybird has a monster squad though. It may be too powerful to defeat, even if he fails to reach the National Championship game (like Jut last year). Pitt, Temple, Arizona and Mississippi State is the best 1-4 on the field. Morgan State, UTEP and Georgia Tech are all going to be good for 35-45 points each, and Creighton won't hurt him. I predict we'll be hating Jaybird most of the season.
3. Boaris - he knows what he's doing, he was in the race all year last year, and might have pulled it off if it hadn't have been for Northern Iowa knocking off Kansas in the second round of the tournament. This year it will be Kansas State that has to carry him, and they have that potential. Tennessee is critical, if they implode Boaris will be in trouble. Princeton, Louisville, UNLV and Utah State are all strong medium teams, UAB has potential in a topsy turvey Conference USA, and Loyola Marymount has some good point opportunities.
4. Mooseye - league rookie Mooseye put together a solid group that will be competitive throughout. Kansas, Florida, and Wichita State are going to be huge point winners. New Mexico and UCONN also have a lot of potential. Western Kentucky will lose to North Texas though, Charlotte will be passed over in the A-10, and Wake will pick up some cheap points in the ACC but see nothing but NIT in the end.
5. Akaoni - He hates his squad I'm sure, but I'd take it over mine any day. #6 Villanova and #17 Butler will be leaders, and Florida State will bring in solid points in the ACC. Northwestern better make the NCAA Tourney, but the rest of his teams need to win their conferences or at least kick a lot of ass. Dayton could turn in more points than Northwestern given the thick A-10 this year. If he gets three of these guys in the Sweet 16 he'll be fighting to the end.
6. McGrumps - McGrumps could have had better prospects if not for a lost player at Memphis, but McGrumps probably has the most parity among his teams from top to bottom. Quinnipiac, maybe his worst team, will bring in 25 points and win the NEC, Oakland will do even better in the Summit, can't complain about that. St. Mary's, Memphis, and Richmond are a beatiful trinity of mid-majors. The questions are whether Kentucky turns it on, and how many points Marquette and Boston College scoop up.
7. Musashisan - Musashisan has the advantage of having Michigan State, which will balance the drag that he will get from Northern Iowa and Long Beach State. Baylor is going to rack up points, and his other Majors (Arizona State, Alabama, Miami) will be good for 25-35 each. It all comes down to Iowa, who has no where to go but up. The irony is that Michigan State is my favorite to win the National Championship, but unless 2 or 3 other teams on this squad step up and become top tier teams it won't be enough.
8. Slake B - League Rookie Slake B has some excellent teams and some so-so teams. Ohio State has Final 4 potential. West Virginia and Xavier have Sweet 16 potential. The rest just need to earn a lot of points, and for some of them that won't be easy. Wright State comes with a curse, they burn any player that picks them.
9. Some Guy in Illinois - A vastly improved squad over last year, the major problem is the lack of a Final 4 contender unless Illinois rises out of the Big 10 to shock the prognosticators. Illinois and Washington will bring in big points, NC State and Ole Miss will bring in pretty good points, and Murray State is a solid pick. If Tulsa, George Mason and New Mexico State step up and dominate their tough respective mid-major conferences SGII could rise much higher than this.
10. Mad Mader - I like two of Mad Mader's teams a lot, Syracuse is a favorite as is North Texas. Mad Mader doubled down in the Big East with Syracuse and Notre Dame, both good for 50 points each, plus has players in the ACC (VA Tech), Pac 10 (UCLA), Big 12 (Texas A&M) and the Big 10 (Penn State), a version of the "Akaoni Method" of staying with the Majors. If 5 of those 6 turn out strong, Mad Mader will be competitive, but other than Syracuse and Virginia Tech I can't see strong post season opportunities (Maybe UCLA in the NIT...). St. Louis is going to tank in the A-10 as well, sorry.
11. Babblemur - Woo hoo! Not last! But bottom 3, as predicted by Jaybird. Losing Hummel hurt, bumping Purdue down a tier. Majors Georgia, St. John's, and Colorado all pretty much start off on the bubble, and USC is just a novelty pick. Any success here will have to rest on San Diego State winning the MWC, which is no guarantee, and Ohio having a monster year in the MAC. But, no real duds here, Maine will shock you.
12. The CEO - At first I really liked The CEO's squads, even thought they were Top 3 potential, but you know, they just don't have it. Here's why: 1. Three minors - Santa Barbara, Wofford, and Fairfield, good for padding but won't go past the first round of the NCAA if they even get in. 2. Gonzaga is the best he's got, and Gonzaga is great, don't get me wrong, but when is the last time they made it into the second week of the NCAA tournament? The gem of this squad is Missouri, who I DO think can make the Sweet 16 if not further. Minnesota, Washington State and Vanderbilt will be good point producers but not stellar in the end. Sorry buddy.
13. Jutdog - WHAAAT? That's right, I think he's got a squad of teams he likes but they are going to keep him in the basement. Here's why: Only three Major conference teams, although North Carolina and Texas could really shine as second place finishers in their conferences, and Seton Hall could bring in some points, that's it for that major conference minimum wage of 30-40 points. The rest of his teams are all gambles that they win their mid-major and minor conferences and score an upset in the NCAA Tourney. BYU - great team. 50-50 shot to win their conference, 50-50 shot to win the MWC tournament. 50-50 shot to score a round one upset. Weber State, Old Dominion, Rhode Island, Detroit - all four of them need to win their conferences and tourneys to give Jut the points he needs from them. 2 of them probably will, the other two have a steeper hill to climb. So I'm predicting terrible disaster for Jut this year, where his hope in the end will be the possibility of finishing 11th, ahead of me.
There you are! Suck it up, homeys!
